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Prediction markets
44 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
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Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$291K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
61 trading now
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia
49%
Druzkhivka
29%
6 more
$400K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
62 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$17.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
66 trading now
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
Netanyahu out by...?
36%
chance
Yes
No
$123.5M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
76 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$1.28M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
49 trading now
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31
22%
October 31
13%
2 more
$766K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
63 trading now
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$876K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
52 trading now
Iran coup attempt by...?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$2.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
62 trading now
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$67K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$114
49 trading now
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$19K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$179
44 trading now
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